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February 27 2025

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Reef Daily | February 27 2025

Housing Market Update

We released our February 2025 Reef Report today, you can access it here: reefinsights.com/reports

Latest Market Data (February 27, 2025)

  • New-home sales fell 10.5% month-over-month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 657,000, the lowest since October 2024. The South (-14.8%) and Northeast (-20%) saw sharp declines, while the West posted a 7.7% gain.
  • Pending home sales dropped 4.6% in January to a record low of 70.6, reflecting weakened buyer demand amid elevated rates.
  • The median new-home price rose 3.7% year-over-year to $446,300, the highest January figure on record.

Current Rates as of February 27, 2025:

Type Today's Rate Last Week's Rate
30-year fixed 6.84% 6.92%
15-year fixed 6.15% 6.20%
5/1 ARM 6.12% 6.18%

Construction Activity

  • Buffalo, NY, advanced plans to convert vacant offices into housing, including the $38 million redevelopment of 237–251 Main St. into 100 apartments.

Notable Transactions

Commercial Highlights

  • Ascension Parish, LA: Industrial sales surged 19.7% ($47.4M trailing 12-month volume), while retail fell 30% ($9.5M).
  • Fishers Island, NY: The Crows Nest 2016 Trust sold 1152 Old Mallory Road for $7 million.

Regional Activity

  • Northeast: Buffalo finalized eminent domain proceedings for Cobblestone District properties, paving the way for redevelopment.
  • South: Miami’s 105 Lockitt Dr LLC acquired a Jamesport property for $2.1 million.
  • West: San Francisco’s Veteran Stan LLC purchased 15 Knapp Ave. in Santa Clara County for $292,000.

Market Indicators

Inventory Trends

  • New-home inventory rose to 495,000 units, a 9.0-month supply at current sales rates—the highest since December 2007.
  • Florida reported 260,000 active listings, nearly triple California’s 96,000. Santa Clara County, CA, saw SFH inventory jump 18% week-over-week to 707 homes.

Regional Developments

Northeast

  • Buffalo’s $400+ million Marine Drive Apartments redevelopment broke ground, adding 686 affordable units.

Midwest

  • Batavia, NY, solicited proposals to redevelop the historic Brisbane Mansion into a boutique hotel or apartments.

South

  • The U.S. Court of Appeals upheld Buffalo’s eminent domain claim for fire-damaged Cobblestone District buildings.

West

  • Silicon Valley’s inventory surge (+18% weekly) coincided with reports of declining price-per-square-foot trends in Tri Valley.

Economic Indicators

  • Jobless claims surged to 242,000 for the week ending February 22, exceeding forecasts and marking the highest level since October 2024.
  • Q4 2024 GDP growth held steady at 2.3%, driven by a 4.2% increase in consumer spending.
  • Durable goods orders rose 3.1% in January, though gains were concentrated in transportation sectors.

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This newsletter is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice.

© 2025 Reef Insights. All rights reserved.

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